Fall 2024, Rationality (Undergrad)
Syllabus
Textbook: Titelbaum, Fundamentals of Bayesian Epistemology volume 1 and volume 2.  MIT gives online access to all students: search "Fundamentals of Bayesian Epistemology" on the MIT libraries website.
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​Readings (.zip file)

Papers
Paper advice
Schedule:

  1. (Sept 5) Gershman 2021, pp 1–6
  2. (Sept 10) Degrees of belief, Titelbaum Ch. 1
  3. (Sept 12) (Conditional) Probability, Titelbaum Ch. 2–3
  4. (Sept 17) Conditionalization, Titelbaum Ch. 4 and Assaad and Hahn 2024
  5. (Sept 19) The Conjunction Fallacy, Tversky and Kahneman 1983
  6. (Sept 24) The Conjunction Fallacy, Dorst and Mandelkern 2022 (skip §3.3, 4.1, and 4.2)
  7. (Sept 26) Hindsight bias, Hedden 2019
  8. (Oct 1) Hindsight bias, Dorst_HB blog posts (Office hours canceled)
    Argument-summary prompts distributed.
  9. (Oct 3) Deference Principles, Titelbaum sections 5.1–5.3
  10. (Oct 8) The law of small numbers, Tversky and Kahneman 1971
  11. (Oct 10) The gambler’s fallacy, Dorst_GF
    Argument summary due at 11:59pm. Share google doc permissions.
  12. (Oct 15) No class (student holiday)
  13. (Oct 17) Hierarchical Models, Kemp et al. 2007
    Paper 1 prompts distributed
  14. (Oct 22) Overconfidence, Dorst_OC
  15. (Oct 24) Overprecision, Moore et al. 2015
  16. (Oct 29) Decision Theory, Titelbaum Ch. 7
  17. (Oct 31) Motivated Ignorance, Kinney and Bright 2022
  18. (Nov 5) Wishful thinking, Melnikoff and Strohminger 2023
    Paper 1 due at 11:59pm. Share google doc permissions.
  19. (Nov 7) No class (Kevin traveling)
  20. (Nov 12) Polarization, Nielsen and Stewart 2018
    Paper 2 prompts distributed
  21. (Nov 14) No class (Kevin traveling)
  22. (Nov 19) Polarization, Kelly 2008
  23. (Nov 21) Polarization, Henderson and Gebharter 2021
  24. (Nov 26) Confirmation bias. Hahn and Harris 2014, pages 59–76
  25. (Nov 28) No class (Thanksgiving)
  26. (Dec 3) Confirmation bias, Salow 2018 (section 1) and Dorst_RP (sections 1–2)
  27. (Dec 5) Polarization, Dorst_RP, sections 3–8
  28. (Dec 10) Selective memory, Wilson 2014
  29. (Dec 11) No class. Paper 2 due at 11:59pm. Share google doc permissions. ​